Two years to next election: Is APC afraid of its shadow or just being too clever by half?, By Femi Orebe

Opinion
Opposition governors are being lured, or intimidated – according to Taraba state governor, Darius Ishaku – to decamp, APC chieftains are making a hash of  trying to ‘turn’  a once despised former President; the legislature is looking, more and more, like the Executive’s Siamese twins, eagerly working towards achieving a national Press for which the Minister of Information  – read government – will “approve, establish and disseminate a national Press Code and set standards to guide the conduct of the  print media, related media and media practitioners;
“(d) approve penalties and fines against violation of the Press Code by print media houses and media practitioners, including revocation of license.
“(e) receive, process and consider applications for the establishment, ownership and operation of print media and other related media houses;
“(f) with the approval of the minister, grant print media and other related licenses to any application considered worthy of such;
“(g) monitor activities of the press, media and other related media houses to ensure compliance with the National Press Code for professional and ethical conduct”.
“Section 3 (d) said that with the approval of the minister, the council can penalize media houses including revocation of licenses”.
All now reasonably suspended.
The cumulative effect of the amendments being proposed to the Press Bill by a member of the APC-  with no training or work experience in the media, and therefore, presumably inspired – would, like China in Hong Kong, “give the government an undiluted control of media houses and media practitioners in a democracy,  thereby jeopardizing free press.
A P C is obviously pursuing, or being pursued, by something and It  should not be farfetched to suggest that these flurry of mostly serpentine activities are coming on the heels of an internal self – examination  by the party, and ipso facto, the Buhari government, which examination most probably turned out unflattering, a mere  two years to the next election in which President Muhammadu Buhari, its once upon a time talisman, would not be a candidate or, alternatively, an effort  in aid of some political abracadabra, come 2023. Presently, the governor Buni- led Emergency Executive Committee of the party has been seemingly confused, dilly dallying, over fixing the programmes that will eventuate in its congress which may again be postponed..
Neither the party, nor the Buhari administration , needs get as panicky as to start working towards a one- party state, or attempting a throwback to the likes of Decrees 2 & 4 of the 1980’s when, coincidentally, President Buhari was Military Head of state. All these should, however,  tell  perspicacious Nigerians that we are probably  back in George Orwell’s “Nineteen Eighty-Four”, with its emphasis on “Propaganda, Totalitarianism and, more ominously, Subversion of reality”. But the Buhari government should rather grow democracy and with its plurality daily increasing in the National Assembly, become emboldened to facilitate a free society, not constrict it, and  improve the electoral system by adopting electronic transmission of election results in the  hope that, unlike 2019, the President would, this time around, append his signature.
I say all these believing  that if the government means well for  Nigeria, it still has more than enough time to right the wrongs of the Buhari administration headed, especially, by  a leader I  once so trusted that right from when he was only  a contestant at the APC Presidential primaries, I had staked my all and wrote on these pages that: “Nigeria, in its current dire straits needs Buhari more than he needs Nigeria”.
The starting point  for rejigging the    APC would be  for its minders not  to  get carried  away by whatever  sweet nothings those decamping governors are saying; things  like APC is the best thing to have ever happened  on the Nigerian political firmament. That, for me, will be  nothing but a ‘subversion of reality’ as Nigerians are deeply hurting, especially on the economic front with  a horrendous inflation, and the daily devaluation of the Naira ravaging them, not to mention the  insecurity that has taken over Nigeria. Not even during the Nigerian civil war were things this bad. The decamping governors will, as sure as day follows the night, rue the day. They will one day talk when they are treated like the Southwest chieftains of the party they are  now being clandestinely recruited to supplant, and replace or, at the least, reduce their influence within the party,  by those strategising  how the presidency will remain in the North after President Buhari. It is presently beyond the decamping governors to know that if this could happen to those who helped to end President Buhari’s serial failure  at the presidency, far worse would be their lot after they would have been used. If APC defeated PDP when it was the ruling party, why is it now suddenly afraid to fight PDP without first destroying it? Nigerians should ponder this. But the decampees should hear, and iinternalse this pithy Yoruba saying: opa ti a fi na iyale wa loke aja meaning that the cane used in beating the first wife is being kept, somewhere….  But that isn’t the real pity of what is currently playing out in the APC which some Northern governors appear to have literally captured. The real tragedy is that, until it is too late, those in the South, angling for the top post, would not see through this until it is too late.
Or what led those Northern APC leaders  into perambulating around former President Goodluck Jonathan, even visiting him at home in numbers, if not to find a fall guy they would dump at the last minute? I believe his education saw him past that incubating treachery.
I digress.
The outcome of the Nigerian condition today – go to any Nigerian market, or listen to radio or TV programmes on the  price of  commodities in the country to affirm or dispute my claims –  is  that President Buhari who, as a result of his incandescent personal integrity and ascetic lifestyle was  APC’s greatest attraction in 2015, and the reason the party humbled PDP out of office,  has become the party’s weakest link . The raison detre of government is the happiness of the greater majority of the population, said the Avatar, Chief Obafemi Awolowo. But happiness has deserted  this country. Add to that, the president’s poor handing of the Nigerian diversity and it becomes obvious why APC is where it is. Should this level of  poverty, and  increasing youth unemployment,  persist, then banditry, rather than be tamed, would escalate beyond a resolution before something gives.
For APC to retain power in 2024, therefore, President Buhari must, deliberately, begin  to do many things differently. Without a scintilla of doubt, he is doing a lot in the area of infrastructure procurement, even though, too much borrowing has become its underside. With crude oil, Nigeria’s main  source of revenue, becoming increasingly unattractive as a result of developments in renewable energy, repayment could become a problem, and a burden on succeeding  generations.
The President must also now realise that a tree does not make a forest, and that there’s no way he can say of APC,  like the French  King Louis X1V said of France: “L’etat c’est moi”. He should, therefore,  embrace  plurality, inclusion, respect for, as well as accommodate, the party’s founding  leaders  especially from other parts of the country. That way, he will  rescue the party from those few Northern governors who believe it is theirs to deal with as they please. It is obvious, even to the blind that only the governors of Kano, Katsina, Borno and, surprisingly Kaduna, feel honour- bound to see the presidency rotate, come 2023 whilst the others are hell bent on retaining it – the very reason they are ready to decapitate every other political party. Even without micro zoning it, the presidency should, for the sake of equity and decency, move Southwards in 2023.
That settled, the President’s next move, as Dr Hakeem Baba- Ahmed never ceases to say, should be for him to see the entire country as his constituency. He should remember that it was not until he campaigned pan – Nigeria, in 2015, that  he won a presidential election after three futile attempts. Unfortunately, Senator Shehu Sani has just told Nigerians that Northern governors, who should tell him the truth, and  who weep over insecurity in their states, all come to the Villa only to eulogise the President to high heavens.  Were that not the situation, he should have been told that he has not managed the Nigerian diversity anywhere near how he should. I saw a very good example of this  just as I was rounding up this article. Reading through a news item regarding a petition to the International  Criminal Court (ICC) by some Southwest leaders, I noticed that all the respondents –  named here by their office, and all appointed by President Buhari  with him as number one are: the Attorney – General, the Chief of Army staff, the Inspector – General of Police, the Comptroller – General of Customs, the Chief of Air Force,  the Commandant – General of Nigerian Security and Civil Defence, the Commandant – General of Immigration, and the commandant – General of NSCDC – all of them are from the North and most probably, all Muslims.
Haba!
In which other multi- ethnic, multi- religious Federation in the world would you  find this  and  why would Nigeria not be the butt of jokes in the international community? Yet thanks mostly to his being the president, Fulani herdsmen are everywhere in the country clutching AK 47,  maiming, killing or kidnapping with nary  any legal consequences. On top of this, President Buhari is doing everything to overrule state governors who banned open grazing in their states even while he  continues, paradoxically, to hold them responsible for security in their respective  states. He is equally rumoured to be toying with the idea of representing the Water Bill.  Add  all these to his failure to encourage the establishment of ranches in the North, and most Nigerians have come to the conclusion that they are intended to facilitate land grab by a rampaging, heavily  armed, army of Fulani  militia, not just herders. There is absolutely no way this will work in contemporary Nigeria as people would rather fight to the death defending their ancestral lands.
If, therefore, APC is keen on retaining power come 2023, its strategists must go back to the drawing board, and also get the President’s ears. Nigerians can no longer be taken for a ride.
Credit: Femi Orebe

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